Saturday, 12 December 2015

J&M Investing mistakes

When we looked at what we achieved today, especially this year, we made good money.

Before we came to this stage, we actually paid a lot of tuition fees to learn about the market; lost money in trading and along the way learn about trading vs investing, as well as some life experiences.

There are investing mistakes we could have avoided and not losing money. But, these are the mistakes we made and we will remember forever in order not to repeat again. We think it is alright to lose money, but not okay to lose confidence. Losing confidence is the worst thing can happen as this will affect our judgement and action towards investing decision in the future. Losing confidence might cause us not having the chance to see ourselves moving into a successful financial journey.

What had we done so badly in the past that we have to remember not to repeat again?

1. No knowing what we invest or speculate

Before we invest or speculate in a stocks, it is important to find out about the company's background and work out the investing capital. This is to reduce the risk of failed investment and capital protection. If we are lazy to do this simple homework, why not we just spend the money or donate to the needy.

2. No exit plan when we have paper profit

Very often when we see paper profit in our portfolio, our greed kicked in and made us thought we will never lose money. When we are not cautious about the risk we are facing or not alert about protecting our profit, it is the most dangerous time as the winnings could turn sour.

3. Invest in the stocks we previously made money

Never fall in love with our investment especially with those we had made money previously! Because of the decision we made, picking the right stock at the right time, we might have the thought of we could made money again with the same stocks. No doubt, we might made money again. But sometimes it might not be the case. When the trend is over, jumping into the stocks we previously made money could made us lose more than what we made.

4. Jump into the market because afraid to lose the trade

It is not difficult to made small money, but big profit? It requires hard work, patience, timing and a bit of luck. Just because we afraid of missing the chance to make money and jump into the market; chances are we will lose money...

5. Invest or trade with correct mindset

Correct mindset is necessary when we are trading or investing. Sometimes we mixed up between trading and investing and therefore we could be very headache when market is against us. Trading usually is a short time frame; if we are at a wrong position, we need to cut our losses in order to protect our capital. Investing is a longer time frame and we need to handle the volatility before we see the result. If we don't have the correct mindset, our decision and action can put our capital in a dangerous position.

6. No emotional trading or investing

Emotional came in normally when we see the market is in our favour, but we did not act according to our plan. Just like Blackmores, if we don't calm ourselves and rush in to buy the shares at any price anytime, we wouldn't know when is the trend over.

7. Following tips

With our networking, it is possible to get investing tips anytime. BUT, how many tips can we follow and how accurate are there? By the time it reached us, is that the beginning or the end of the trend? It is no harm to follow the tips, provided we do our own research.

Conclusion: These are the investing mistakes J&M did in the past. These can be the common mistakes most investors made too. It is not a big deal, but if recognising them can help us improve ourselves and our financial situation, why not?


Tuesday, 8 December 2015

Hung Fook Tong Group Holdings

Overnight Dow Jones closed down 117 @ 17730.51. Following US and the regional market, Hang Seng Index opened gap down this morning. The worse than expected China export data released this morning caused HSI sank lower. At closing, Hang Seng Index dropped 298.09 @ 21905.13; spot month futures tumbled 456 points, finished at 21824.

Despite the sell down in regional market, one of the stock in our portfolio surged 17.8 percent at closing. We wonder is this a dead cat bourse? Or the beginning of the uptrend.

We have been holding Hung Fook Tong (HK:1446) for quite some time. We first came across Hung Fook Tong was during a trip to Hong Kong before 1446 went on IPO. The shop caught our attention, as it has many branches located just right before the MRT entrance barrier and shopping malls.

Hung Fook Tong Group is one of the top retailer of Chinese herbal drinks, soups, tortoise herbal jelly and other food products in Hong Kong. Their main retail business is in Hong Kong, Guangzhou and Shanghai. The group acts as a wholesaler to the distributors and supermarkets in Hong Kong and Mainland China; they also export long shelf-life products to overseas, including Malaysia.

The company share price closed at $0.86 today. One year range is between $0.61- $1.22; below the IPO price at $1.30.


Monday, 7 December 2015

Performance Review

No matter what happen to the market in the coming week till last day of the year, we are going to take a break from the market. We think we have achieved quite a lot this year, so we deserved a break until when we are ready.

We always believe we need to rest, switch off from the market and come back again with a fresh mind. Of course, if market rally and our portfolio have a nice paper profit, we don't mind to lock in the profit; and if market drops badly, which we think unlikely, we will continue bargain hunting.

To sum up the year of 2015, we enjoyed the roller coaster ride. During the downtrend, we've collected some undervalue stocks which we think need to keep for months or years. Meanwhile, we also collected some blue chip and REITS, attracted by their dividend payout.

When market rally, we sold our holdings; keep the cash and turn it into other investments. So far, we are quite happy with the result and hopefully we'll perform better in the coming years.

Our portfolio's result year to date:

Australia: +25%
Hong Kong: +14%
Malaysia: +5.5%
REITS: +4%

The above result does not include the dividend and interest received throughout the year. As our Ringgit had depreciated quite badly against other currencies, to us it's a bonus since our portfolio consists of Australian Dollar, Japanese Yen, Hong Kong and Singapore dollar, not to mention Chinese Yuan which just included into SDR.

We'll remain our currencies portfolio for the time being. Will increase our holdings if Ringgit strengthened; otherwise, we'll travel to these destinations to spend the currencies.


Sunday, 6 December 2015

Volatile week

A word to wrap up what happened in the market this week: volatility!

Traders love this week! The volatility creates making money opportunity. Provided you stand on the right side- long when market tumbles, short while market rally. We bet standing on the wrong side could be very hurt- financially and mentally.

Overnight Dow Jones surged 369.96 on Friday closing, finished at 17847.63. We see Asian market will open higher on Monday morning. But after that, will the Santa rally continue? Or every rally is another selling opportunity?

Hang Seng Index closed down 181.12 at 22235.89; December futures closed at 22152, down 265. The range of the week for spot futures was traded between 21856-22576 (720). For KLCI Index, the cash market closed at 1667.87 (-6.05), spot futures closed at 1661.5 (-7.5).


Thursday, 3 December 2015

Where is gold heading?

The precious metal- gold used to be the safe haven during global financial crisis broke 52 weeks low today, lowest went to $1045.85 per ounce, now rebound to $1056 after US Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen hinted very high possibility of interest rate hike in the coming policy meeting between 15-16 Dec.

In fact, gold had reached the lowest level since February 2010. Where is this precious commodity heading?


Wednesday, 2 December 2015

Blackmores Ltd

We always stay in touch with the market and pay attention to the potential upside stocks. Before we pull the trigger to invest in them, we will do a thorough research about the company background and decide when to buy by looking at the technical chart.

Of course, we do not always invest on all the research we did.

We couldn't remember what was the reason we didn't pull the trigger on Blackmores Ltd (AU: BKL), an Australian company specialize in manufacturing vitamin and natural health products.

At that time of research, the share price of Blackmores Ltd was trading at $30; if not mistaken, it should be in the year of 2014. When we looked at the share price yesterday, we were shocked to find that the stocks was at $185! 500 percent increment from the price we last saw! 

Well, these are the things will happen along the investing journey! Sometimes, we might missed the chances of making big money, just like Blackmores Ltd! Sometimes we might just pocket small profit before the big uptrend happens! Or, we might be too late to join the bandwagon; as soon as we invested, the trend turnaround.

That's why we have our J&M investing rules- no emotional trading or investing, never chase a stock we've missed without doing homework, never fall in love with your investment, never look back on a stocks we've sold, never consider to invest in the stocks we had previously made money...

We always believe if we missed this opportunity, there will always be a better one coming soon. We believe there will always be a right stock at the right time bring us a big fat profit. Have we meet the right stock at the right time yet? Yes, we did! And we believe there is more to come in the future.


Tuesday, 1 December 2015

Is December rally coming soon?

While we thought market could be quiet ahead of holiday season, it's actually not! All the market participants still taking every minute to make money during market volatility.

Coming into December, Hang Seng Index futures surprised us with opened 295 points higher in the morning after confirmation of Chinese RMB being included in benchmark SDR currency basket.

The news reversed yesterday's downtrend, sending the market from 22098 in the morning to 22489 (391) in the afternoon. Hang Seng Index spot futures ended at 22388 (+479) on the first day of December while cash market closed up 384.93 at 22381.35.

The market had been range trading lately. Every rally is a selling opportunity while every dips in a buying opportunity. Will the range trading trend ended soon?

Looking at the chart, the resistant is daily MA100- 22831. If Dow Jones closed in positive territory plus triple digit tonight, there's a chance of Hong Kong market break up and we'll see December market rally. On the other hand, if HSI broke below 22200 again, we are afraid we'll see 22000, 21800 or lower...